Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday
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Añorga |
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Leioa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.05 |
3.15 |
1.82 |
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4.23 |
3.18 |
1.87 |
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4.18 |
3.23 |
1.86 |
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3.9 |
3.2 |
1.85 |
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4.2 |
3.13 |
1.84 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.11 ↑
(3.27) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
1.85 ↓
(2.13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Añorga
22.1% | Draw
28.6% | Leioa
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Añorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Añorga's form might have worsened.Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Añorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Añorga - Leioa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).Añorga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Leioa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Leioa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).Including home match between the teams, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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