Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Leioa		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	2.02	3	3.45
	2.06	3.04	3.65
	2.06	3.08	3.61
	2.04	2.99	3.62
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	3.59 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
44.7%

Draw
29.9%

Real Sociedad C
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Leioa - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Cabo I. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Gamiz M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Pecina A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Leioa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Sociedad C has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leioa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leioa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Leioa	5	2	3	0	12:6	6	9
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.01.26	Pasaia - Leioa	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Lagun Onak - Leioa	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Leioa - Deusto	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Portugalete - Leioa	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWT
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Añorga	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Durango - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Sociedad C - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Zamudio - Real Sociedad C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Real Sociedad C - Leioa	0:1

Leioa - Real Sociedad C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide