Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Bærum		Oppsal

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.75	3.9
	1.57	5	4
	1.53	4.76	3.58
	1.53	4.77	3.58
	1.54	4.6	4.36
	1.57	5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.77)	4.81 ↑ (4.75)	3.9 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
58.2%

Draw
18.7%

Oppsal
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

19.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

18.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Oppsal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oppsal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oppsal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oppsal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Oppsal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Roba K. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Hauger H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Braendvang M. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Bransdale L. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Bransdale L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Bærum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bærum will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bærum won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bærum won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
25.05.24	Nordstrand - Bærum	2:2 ✺
20.05.24	Bærum - Asker Fotball	1:4 ✺
13.05.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Bærum	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Bærum - Frigg Oslo	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLLW
- Oppsal
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
25.05.24	Oppsal - Ullern	4:0 ✺
16.05.24	Oppsal - Gamle Oslo	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Asker Fotball - Oppsal	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Frigg Oslo - Oppsal	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Oppsal - Vålerenga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
31.08.19	Oppsal - Bærum	2:2
27.07.19	Bærum - Oppsal	5:5
Norwegian NM Cup
27.04.17	Bærum - Oppsal	1:0

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