Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Búzios		Friburguense

	1	X	2
	6.3	3.95	1.41
	7.9	4.62	1.33	Watch
	6.25	3.9	1.41
	9.15	4.7	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.4 ↑ (6.75)	4.29 ↑ (4.02)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Búzios
12.2%

Draw
21.1%

Friburguense
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.3%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

21.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Búzios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Friburguense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Búzios than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Friburguense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Búzios - Friburguense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Recent results have been tough for Búzios (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Friburguense is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Friburguense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Friburguense holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Friburguense	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
11	Buzios	7	1	0	6	5:18	-13	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Búzios
Brazilian Carioca B2
05.10.26	Campos - Búzios	3:1 ✺
01.10.26	Búzios - Paraty	3:2 ✺
28.09.26	Barra Mansa - Búzios	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Búzios - Serra Macaense	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Cruz RJ - Búzios	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Friburguense AC
Brazilian Carioca B2
06.10.26	Friburguense - Paduano	1:0 ✺
02.10.26	7 de Abril - Friburguense	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Friburguense - Campos	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paraty - Friburguense	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Friburguense - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT

Búzios - Friburguense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide