Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Friburguense		Paduano

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.25	3.15
	2.04	3.5	3.15	Watch
	2.03	3.25	3.1
	1.96	3.34	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.19 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Friburguense
44.7%

Draw
27%

Paduano
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Friburguense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Friburguense - Paduano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Victor Hugo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 5th).

Friburguense is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Paduano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Friburguense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Friburguense has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Friburguense	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
6	Paduano EC	7	3	2	2	9:6	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Friburguense AC
Brazilian Carioca B2
02.10.26	7 de Abril - Friburguense	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Friburguense - Campos	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paraty - Friburguense	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Friburguense - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Serra Macaense - Friburguense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTW
- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B2
27.09.26	Paraty - Paduano	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Paduano - Barra Mansa	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Serra Macaense - Paduano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca B1
08.11.25	Niteroiense - Paduano	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	Paduano - Friburguense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
05.11.25	Paduano - Friburguense	2:0
28.09.24	Paduano - Friburguense	0:1

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