The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slavia Mozyr 65.1%
Draw 21.1%
Naftan 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
21.1%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69%
20.1%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Slavia Mozyr - Naftan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Veretynskiy K. (G) 4. Rashchenya I. 88. Yashin D. 18. Melnikov N. 2. Shemruk A. 14. Fedorenko D. 9. Batyshchev O. 49. Dzhigero A. (C) 21. Shevchenko E. 44. Lutsevich T. 31. Solovey A.
16. Sadovskiy D. (G) 8. Stefanishin A. 69. Khadzhiev R. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 88. Drabatovich A. 6. Adamovich K. 24. Seleznev I. 50. Mafwenta G. 9. Yakovlev V. 11. Pranovich I. 57. Galimzyanov T.
Substitutes
16. Abramovich E. (G) 17. Chernook K. 27. Chikida P. 19. Derzhinskiy A. 23. Ignatiev V. (G) 30. Likhtin V. 3. Ngatchou R. 7. Romanov N. 20. Verenich I.
30. Aymanov M. 22. Fezhenko V. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 21. Kirkitskiy K. 17. Krolik V. 10. Savitskiy A. 7. Tumanov A. 94. Voskoboynikov A.
Coaches
Bionchik I.
Khrapkovski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Sadovskiy D. 🟨,
6', Solovey A. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Pranovich I. ↓, Voskoboynikov A. ↑,
45', Solovey A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Drabatovich A. ⚽,
59', Shemruk A. ↓, Derzhinskiy A. ↑,
59', Fedorenko D. ↓, Chernook K. ↑,
71', Galimzyanov T. 🟨,
73', Galimzyanov T. ↓, Savitskiy A. ↑,
76', Voskoboynikov A. 🟨,
78', Dzhigero A. ↓, Ngatchou R. ↑,
78', Melnikov N. ↓, Chikida P. ↑,
81', Shevchenko E. ↓, Verenich I. ↑,
90', Mafwenta G. ↓, Krolik V. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 16th in the Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 5.
In recent outings, Slavia Mozyr has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Naftan has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Naftan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Slavia Mozyr as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Slavia Mozyr has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:13 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Slavia Mozyr against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).