Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5.25	8.00
	1.40	4.40	6.00
	1.28	5.22	8.54
	1.39	4.56	6.55	Watch
	1.22	5.15	8.45
	1.22	6.14	10.10
	1.43	4.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	5.02 ↑ (4.45)	7.59 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
69.7%

Draw
18.3%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BE1 NFA Kaunas's performance.

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 4.

BE1 NFA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Žalgiris 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, BE1 NFA has had a series of away games.

In this match, BE1 NFA is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
6	Zalgiris 2	25	13	4	8	38:32	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
19.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Transinvest 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Garliava	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
15.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
23.07.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
28.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
10.04.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0
29.10.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0
24.06.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3
22.09.18	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1
22.05.18	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	6:0

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