Match Info

I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.1	1.65
	3.3	4.05	1.78
	1.00	1.00	1.07	Watch
	3.94	3.7	1.74
	4.61	3.9	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.3)	3.35 ↓ (4)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
24.3%

Draw
24.1%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.4%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.7%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atmosfera Mažeikiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atmosfera Mažeikiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmosfera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kort I. (G) 26. Adah J. 29. Ampofo J. 12. Bekwayo K. 23. Gudaitis T. 20. Issah M. 14. Jansonas D. 54. Pavlovskij N. 7. Rakauskas J. 8. Sluta D. (C) 18. Ziedelis J.	1. Juska L. (G) 21. Balde U. 15. Bawa M. 17. Fujiyoshi M. 10. Funami Y. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 23. Mantinis K. 6. Pilipavicius A. 71. Seki K. 20. Srederis N.
Substitutes
51. Akakpo K. J. 13. Akpan U. W. 11. Barkauskas G. 52. Brykov S. 72. Bublys K. (G) 9. Gutauskas T. 55. Stapulionis J. 27. Trumpa E. 17. Turcinskas J. 2. Virbalas I. 22. Wardell O. 5. Zizys M.	8. Andriejauskas A. 7. Horikoshi T. 33. Lopez K. (G) 9. Najulis K. 30. Patella S. R. 3. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, ⚽,
58', 🟨,
79', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

BE1 NFA has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atmosfera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Atmosfera is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
29.08.25	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
08.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
30.08.25	Transinvest - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	4:1 ✺
03.08.25	Panevėžys 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
10.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:4
17.08.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
26.06.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0
15.10.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0
31.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2

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