Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV
World	FIFA+


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.47
	4.95	4.45	1.46
	4.65	4.45	1.5
	15.00	11.23	1.07	Watch
	5.5	4	1.44
	5.95	4.5	1.41
	6.03	4.48	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.73 ↑ (4.69)	5.33 ↑ (4.26)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
14%

Draw
17.7%

Neptūnas
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20.4%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. BE1 NFA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Neptūnas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BE1 NFA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - BE1 NFA (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Neptūnas (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. BE1 NFA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Neptūnas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ostapenko K. (G) 26. Adah J. 50. Akakpo K. J. 29. Ampofo J. 11. Barkauskas G. 12. Bekwayo K. 23. Gudaitis T. 7. Rakauskas J. 4. Stankus P. (C) 2. Virbalas I. 18. Ziedelis J.	1. Agalarov A. (G) 33. Ankudinovas A. 3. Badmus O. 8. Hevlych T. 15. Jermolajev E. 69. Omokhoa D. 24. Shults K. 23. Skurdelis A. (C) 7. Smulkys E. 39. Stonys V. 6. Sulzickij V.
Substitutes
13. Akpan U. W. 52. Brykov S. 9. Gutauskas T. 14. Jansonas D. 19. Jucius A. 30. Kuodis K. 10. Mamis T. 1. Mestrovic B. (G) 55. Stapulionis J. 77. Starkus E. (G) 27. Trumpa E.	92. Bondarev N. 10. Diawara H. 95. Elivelton 22. Fiodorov A. 89. Komza D. (G) 27. Laukzemis K. 20. Petkus A. 42. Vaitkus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Omokhoa D. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Hevlych T. ⚽,
40', Hevlych T. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
45', Sulzickij V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Omokhoa D. ↓, Laukzemis K. ↑,
55', Sulzickij V. ↓, Bondarev N. ↑,
55', Jermolajev E. ↓, Diawara H. ↑,
57', 🟨,
57', Virbalas I. ↓, Jansonas D. ↑,
65', 🟨,
67', 0 - 3, ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 0.

BE1 NFA has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neptūnas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Neptūnas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Transinvest	1:5 ✺
23.07.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.25	Neptūnas - Transinvest	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	3:3 ✺
27.07.25	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
25.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Neptūnas	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.25	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0
18.10.24	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:1
31.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	1:1
21.10.23	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1
03.06.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	1:1
12.10.22	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1
22.05.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	2:1

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