Match Info

I Lyga - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Jonavos centrinis stadionas (Jonava)


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.9	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.49	3.42	1.97
	2.31	3.26	2.87	Watch
	3.49	3.28	1.97
	2.9	3.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.24 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
31.3%

Draw
27.3%

Nevėžis
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BE1 NFA Kaunas's form might have worsened.

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nevėžis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nevėžis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nevėžis (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Nevėžis (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Nevėžis (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Nevėžis (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nevėžis will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Nevėžis (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Starkus E. (G) 26. Adah J. 14. Cooper C. 23. Gudaitis T. 20. Issah M. 10. Kirliauskas E. 8. Sluta D. (C) 17. Turcinskas J. 2. Virbalas I. 18. Ziedelis J. 5. Zizys M.	1. Urbonas E. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. (C) 10. Toklikishvili N. 20. Traore M. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
11. Barkauskas G. 12. Bublys K. (G) 9. Gutauskas T. 3. Jasulevicus R. 24. Jasunskis M. 19. Jucius A. 25. Ostapenko K. (G) 21. Shvedchenko R.	13. Berednikovas L. 7. Ferraz V. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 23. Havryliuk N. 22. Lukosevicius A. 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 91. Petkevicius M. 17. Skibiniauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Mohil Y. ⚽,
11', Turcinskas J. 🟨,
16', 0 - 2, Avizovas U. ⚽,
18', Mikuckis R. 🟨,
31', Zuperka R. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Kirliauskas E. 🟨,
72', 0 - 3, Traore M. ⚽,
73', Virbalas I. ↓, Shvedchenko R. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Adah J. ⚽,
78', Sluta D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 1.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Nevėžis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.25	Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Transinvest - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.25	Transinvest - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
26.10.24	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2
30.07.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	3:1
04.10.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	1:1
26.05.23	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:2
05.08.22	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
05.04.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	0:0
13.10.18	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:0

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