Match Info

I Lyga - Round 28

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	13:00	DAZN
Brazil	08:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
France	13:00	DAZN France
Germany	13:00	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	20:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	00:00	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	12:00	DAZN / App
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	13:00	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	07:00	DAZN USA


	Tauras Tauragė		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.37
	2.12	3.40	2.85
	2.47	3.49	2.38
	2.48	3.59	2.44	Watch
	2.40	3.45	2.35
	2.58	3.70	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.14)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	2.46 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
37.3%

Draw
25.8%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BE1 NFA Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tauras Tauragė, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Michael Thuique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 3rd).

In recent outings, Tauras has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

BE1 NFA is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, BE1 NFA has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tauras has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tauras against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	27	18	3	6	50:27	23	57
8	Tauras Taurage	27	13	5	9	48:37	11	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
16.10.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė	4:4 ✺
18.09.26	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Tauras Tauragė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TWLLT
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
16.10.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Dainava Alytus	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Transinvest 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	FA Šiauliai B - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.06.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
22.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	0:2
26.04.25	Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0
02.11.24	Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
14.06.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Tauras Tauragė	2:1

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