Match Info

I Lyga - Round 1

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	BFA Vilnius		Ekranas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.75
	1.82	3.5	3.6
	1.82	3.53	3.62
	1.79	3.88	3.6	Watch
	1.74	3.45	3.3
	1.57	3.64	5.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	3.86 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
51.5%

Draw
25.1%

Ekranas
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

21.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFA Vilnius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekranas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

BFA Vilnius - Ekranas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. BFA will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ekranas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BFA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Paulikas I. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Jurevicius Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 2.

Recent performances by BFA have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ekranas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ekranas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, BFA is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BFA won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
28.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Ekranas - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
23.07.25	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	1:0
09.03.25	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	0:2
04.08.24	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:1
09.03.24	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	1:1
12.08.23	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:0
26.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	2:1
10.09.22	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	4:1

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