Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: FK TransINVEST stadium (Galine)


	BFA Vilnius		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	21.00	8.25	1.09
	20	7.9	1.07
	19.09	9.28	1.09
	19.22	8.74	1.08	Watch
	26	8	1.08
	23	8.5	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	21.39 ↑ (7.45)	8.45 ↑ (4.42)	1.08 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
4.3%

Draw
10.8%

Kauno Žalgiris
84.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

20.7%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

17.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFA Vilnius's form might have worsened.

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFA Vilnius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-28.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 17. Brykov S. 77. Jurevicius Z. 4. Kezunas A. 15. Leonenko G. 24. Misiunas D. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 30. Sabitu T. 48. Sidlauskas A. 53. Vilkuotis R.	22. Mikelionis D. (G) 32. Baldassarra F. 24. Burba M. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. (C) 23. Hernandez A. 9. Ikaunieks D. 8. Karashima Y. 15. Leo Ribeiro 45. Moutachy J. 3. Tolordava A.
Substitutes
20. Alonderis A. 57. Arbocius M. (G) 6. Gerbutavicius J. 7. Miezis D. 12. Ostapenko K. (G) 47. Pikelis R. 91. Pukinskas I. 8. Shvedchenko R. 88. Usanov M. 35. Ustinovic M. 51. Vareika J.	1. Aliukonis J. (G) 7. Benchaib A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 99. Kadric H. 70. Ourega F. 79. Paulauskas V. 6. Pavlovic D. 4. Racic L. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 55. Svedkauskas T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
52', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by BFA have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

BFA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, BFA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Including home match between the teams, BFA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWW
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
16.08.23	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:5

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