Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 29 December 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)


	BSAD		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	3.15	2.9	2.3
	2.95	3.25	2.32
	3.16	3.2	2.47
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.93	3.32	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.55)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
31.2%

Draw
29.2%

Leixões
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	20.8%	54.2%

BSAD - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Leixões will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leixões could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches BSAD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams BSAD won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Vilafranquense - BSAD	0:0 ✺
01.12.22	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	2:2 ✺
18.11.22	BSAD - Boavista	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	BSAD - Machico	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTLTW
- Leixões SC
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Feirense - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Arouca - Leixões	1:1 ✺
23.11.22	Leixões - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.11.22	Mafra - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
27.01.16	BSAD - Leixões	4:0
Portuguese Liga 2
17.03.13	BSAD - Leixões	2:1
27.10.12	Leixões - BSAD	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.26	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	✺

BSAD - Leixões