Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 34

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vilafranquense		BSAD

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.75	3.2	1.93
	4.12	3.43	2
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.78	3.42	1.93
	3.4	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.25)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	1.96 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
25.3%

Draw
27.9%

BSAD
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BSAD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilafranquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BSAD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Vilafranquense - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). BSAD will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 67.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 12. Edson Farias 16. Suliman E. 30. Silva B. 28. Silvio (C) 25. Dias R. 26. Sousa A. 50. John Mercado 7. Silva L. 8. Martins B. 18. Nene	1. Tabuaco G. (G) 44. Boni T. 12. John K. 4. Tomas N. (C) 77. Jojo 6. Braima 40. Ageu E. 5. Henrique Gelain 28. Lobato S. 89. Joao Marcos 11. Jefferson Souza
Substitutes
15. Amorim J. 11. Belkheir M. 10. Dioh I. 22. Leo Alaba 21. Mucuana Lobo E. J. 24. Queta M. 97. Rosa M. (G) 9. Sangare B. 3. Thiago Freitas	24. Caldeira B. 7. Chico Teixeira 21. Fofana B. 42. Montez A. 16. Oliveira R. 10. Saramago B. 90. Silva D. (G) 84. Simoes F. 17. Tavares D.
Coaches
Cheu R.	Alves Salazar J. P.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches BSAD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

BSAD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match BSAD is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.23	Leixões - Vilafranquense	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Mafra - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Vilafranquense - Torreense	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Tondela - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
20.05.23	BSAD - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	BSAD - Mafra	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Leixões - BSAD	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	BSAD - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - BSAD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Vilafranquense - BSAD	0:0

Vilafranquense - BSAD: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide