Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	BSAD		Boavista

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.68
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	4.3	3.55	1.7
	5.18	3.81	1.68
	4.75	3.4	1.67
	4.95	3.74	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (3.25)	3.61 ↑ (3.28)	1.7 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
19.8%

Draw
25.7%

Boavista
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

26.9%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BSAD's form might have worsened.

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boavista's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boavista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	19.2%	69.2%

BSAD - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

BSAD is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boavista has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boavista will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches BSAD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams BSAD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	BSAD - Machico	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.22	BSAD - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
30.10.22	Académico de Viseu - BSAD	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLLL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
12.11.22	Boavista - Porto	1:4 ✺
06.11.22	Rio Ave - Boavista	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Boavista - Vizela	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Machico - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
12.03.22	BSAD - Boavista	0:0
25.10.21	Boavista - BSAD	0:0
04.04.21	BSAD - Boavista	0:2

BSAD - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide