The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BSAD 29.2%
Draw 31.5%
Paços de Ferreira 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29.4%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
19.5%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.9%
40%
37.1%
BSAD - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 56.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 11).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (62.55%), has project points - 26, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 14 (12.26%), has project points - 36, has currently - 24, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality40, importance37, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1.
Belenenses is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 10-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.
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