Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Gil Vicente		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.9	6.25
	1.52	4	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4	6.2
	1.51	4.31	7.26
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.54	4.1	6.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.81)	3.98 ↑ (3.28)	6.48 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
61.8%

Draw
23.7%

BSAD
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

23%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Gil Vicente - BSAD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Gil Vicente has the most likely position - 5 (58.32%), has project points - 54, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (50.3%), has project points - 27, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 44, small importance 25, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 1.

Gil Vicente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gil Vicente is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Gil Vicente is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
13.02.22	Vizela - Gil Vicente	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Gil Vicente - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
02.02.22	Benfica - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Gil Vicente - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WTWWT
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
13.02.22	BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
07.02.22	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
02.02.22	BSAD - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
23.01.22	Marítimo - BSAD	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	BSAD - Porto	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
18.09.21	BSAD - Gil Vicente	1:1
26.04.21	BSAD - Gil Vicente	2:1
04.01.21	Gil Vicente - BSAD	0:0
19.07.20	BSAD - Gil Vicente	1:0
12.01.20	Gil Vicente - BSAD	2:0
23.05.15	Gil Vicente - BSAD	0:2
18.01.15	BSAD - Gil Vicente	2:0

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