The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BSAD 7.8%
Draw 16.3%
Sporting Lisbon 75.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
8.2%
17%
74.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
7.7%
86.2%
BSAD - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon will win
(56 of 65 users predict this - 86.15%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.75% – 94.55%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (52.25%), has project points - 27, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sporting has the most likely position - 2 (49.45%), has project points - 78, has currently - 47, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (96%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sporting is indisputable favorite.
Last 22 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 23-49.
Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-30.
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