Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	BSAD		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.78
	4.5	3.55	1.77	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.74
	4.74	3.89	1.78
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.45	3.76	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.95)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
21.3%

Draw
25.6%

Vitoria Guimarães
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

17.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (64.94%), has project points - 25, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (34.64%), has project points - 49, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guimarães is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Liga Portugal
07.02.22	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
02.02.22	BSAD - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
23.01.22	Marítimo - BSAD	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	BSAD - Porto	1:4 ✺
13.01.22	Famalicão - BSAD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
05.02.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Vizela - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
23.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
17.01.22	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
10.01.22	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
12.09.21	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	0:0
08.02.21	BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
18.09.20	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	0:1
11.06.20	BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
30.10.19	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	5:0
12.05.19	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	5:1
06.01.19	BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0

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