Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Babelsberg		Lichtenberg

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6
	1.4	4.4	6.4
	1.38	4.4	7.4
	1.38	4.67	8.46
	1.42	4.5	6.95
	1.39	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.66)	4.45 ↑ (3.58)	6.97 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
66.1%

Draw
20.7%

Lichtenberg
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.8%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babelsberg's performance.

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lichtenberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babelsberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lichtenberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Babelsberg - Lichtenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation)).

Babelsberg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lichtenberg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Babelsberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Babelsberg is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Babelsberg to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Babelsberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
18.09.22	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
09.09.22	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
19.08.22	Babelsberg - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
12.08.22	Hertha Berlin II - Babelsberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWTW
- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
16.09.22	Luckenwalde - Lichtenberg	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Lichtenberg - Altglienicke	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Chemie Leipzig - Lichtenberg	3:2 ✺
21.08.22	Lichtenberg - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Lichtenberg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
19.12.21	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:1
31.07.21	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	1:0
04.10.20	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	3:0
07.03.20	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	4:1
15.09.19	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:0

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