Match Info

I Lyga - Round 5

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
World	FIFA+


	Babrungas Plungė		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.12	3.24	3.03
	2.05	3.41	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.1	2.9
	2.04	3.25	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.52)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.09 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
43.4%

Draw
27.6%

Neptūnas
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
22.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ekranas - Babrungas Plungė	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Babrungas Plungė - FA Šiauliai B	1:5 ✺
31.10.25	Panevėžys 2 - Babrungas Plungė	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
22.03.26	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Neptūnas - Garliava	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Neptūnas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.11.25	Riteriai - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.25	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:0
25.04.25	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:1
28.09.24	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	3:0
10.05.24	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:1
07.10.23	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	5:0
19.05.23	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	2:2
05.11.22	Babrungas Plungė - Neptūnas	1:3

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