Match Info

A Lyga - Relegation - Final

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Riteriai		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.93	3.77	3.41	Watch
	1.74	3.48	4.18	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	3.93 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Riteriai
51.5%

Draw
25.1%

Neptūnas
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riteriai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Riteriai - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Neptūnas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Neptūnas (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Riteriai will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Riteriai will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Riteriai (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Neptūnas (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tuta A. (G) 6. Karamarko M. 3. Bulatovic V. 32. Arthur Pierino 7. Estevez Fernandez L. 8. Sveistrys A. (C) 17. Rimpa D. 11. Kaulinis A. 98. Denilson 9. Mikulenas M. 24. Usavicius J.	1. Agalarov A. (G) 19. Trakselis A. 23. Skurdelis A. (C) 3. Badmus O. 24. Shults K. 33. Ankudinovas A. 8. Hevlych T. 10. Diawara H. 92. Bondarev N. 14. Kawachi Y. 11. Zubauskas D.
Substitutes
28. Acolatse C. 21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. (G) 10. Civilka S. 71. Dedura M. 35. Harapko P. 50. Latvys M. 84. Lipinskas D. 18. Novikovas A. 37. Sankin A. (G) 19. Stanulevicius R.	30. Bondarev D. 95. Elivelton 15. Jermolajev E. 89. Komza D. (G) 17. Kudzin R. 69. Omokhoa D. 7. Smulkys E. 39. Stonys V. 6. Sulzickij V. 42. Vaitkus J.
Coaches
Vaiciunas G.	Lutkov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Bulatovic V. ⚽, Sveistrys A. (A),
28', Denilson 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Zubauskas D. ⚽, Kawachi Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Denilson ↓, Novikovas A. ↑,
62', Bondarev N. ↓, Smulkys E. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Usavicius J. ⚽,
69', Diawara H. ↓, Elivelton ↑,
69', Hevlych T. ↓, Omokhoa D. ↑,
71', Estevez Fernandez L. 🟨,
74', Smulkys E. 🟨,
76', Usavicius J. ↓, Civilka S. ↑,
77', Ankudinovas A. 🟨,
79', Kawachi Y. ↓, Stonys V. ↑,
79', Ankudinovas A. ↓, Kudzin R. ↑,
81', Civilka S. 🟨,
82', Rimpa D. ↓, Stanulevicius R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Riteriai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neptūnas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Riteriai has had a series of away games.

In this match, Riteriai is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Riteriai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
15.11.25	Neptūnas - Riteriai	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai	2:2 ✺
22.10.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLTW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
15.11.25	Neptūnas - Riteriai	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
09.11.25	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
15.11.25	Neptūnas - Riteriai	0:0
Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.24	Neptūnas - Riteriai	2:3
27.06.24	Riteriai - Neptūnas	5:1

Upcoming Matches