Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.6
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3.05	3.45
	2.15	3.11	3.59
	2.07	3.13	3.44
	2.04	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
44.2%

Draw
29.8%

Algeciras
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Badajoz - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Algeciras is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badajoz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Leonesa - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
17.08.22	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWTT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.22	Algeciras - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
17.08.22	Algeciras - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:0
15.09.19	Badajoz - Algeciras	2:1

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