Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.1	2.85	3.3
	2.18	3	3.5
	2.17	3.05	3.59
	2.14	3.01	3.45	Watch
	2.16	2.99	3.52
	2.18	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)	3 (3)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
42.7%

Draw
30.6%

Algeciras
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fuenlabrada - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 20. Casas I. 4. Mauro M. 5. Alba D. 6. Alvaro Garcia 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 10. Galindo A. 14. Barbosa A. 9. Omoigui C. 7. Manu	13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 5. Gaixas A. 4. Spatz L. M. 22. Coch A. 11. Sanchez T. 24. Larrea P. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 19. Illesca M. 7. Rodri 10. Esteban Diego
Substitutes
11. Abde 3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 21. Nene 17. Ouacharaf B. 12. Pinan A.	21. Celorio N. 31. Dominiguez C. 23. Gomez J. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 17. Leiva A. 27. Recagno D. 1. Venteo I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Omoigui C. ⚽,
29', Aguza S. 🟨,
29', Sanchez T. 🟨,
29', Manu 🟨,
29', Casas I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, Manu ⚽,
59', 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Ruiz Fer ⚽,
63', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Algeciras is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fuenlabrada will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.25	Betis B - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Hércules - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Antequera - Fuenlabrada	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLWW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.25	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marbella - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Algeciras - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ceuta - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.11.24	Algeciras - Fuenlabrada	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Algeciras - Fuenlabrada	2:1
28.08.22	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	2:0

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