Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.1	3	1.83
	4.25	2.9	1.9
	4	3.1	1.85
	4.5	3.06	1.93
	4.33	2.9	1.91
	4.3	3.2	1.83
	4.1	3.2	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (2.99)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	1.87 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
21.7%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo A Coruña
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Badajoz's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badajoz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Badajoz - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Badajoz will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Deportivo will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Badajoz - Córdoba	2:4 ✺
20.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Badajoz - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Alcorcón - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Guijuelo - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.22	Algeciras - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.03.22	Badajoz - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0
18.09.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Badajoz	1:0

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