Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.7	3	5.25
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.72	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.15	4.5
	1.76	3.39	4.92
	1.73	3.32	4.7
	1.78	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	3.24 (3.24)	4.74 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
52.6%

Draw
28.1%

Badajoz
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

28%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alcorcón - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: Alcorcón will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcorcón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	Ceuta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Alcorcón - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Alcorcón - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
25.09.22	Linares Deportivo - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	Badajoz - Linense	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Fuenlabrada - Badajoz	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Badajoz - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
25.09.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

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