Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Badajoz		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.95	3	4.2	Watch
	1.96	2.81	3.66
	2.06	2.84	4.13
	2.38	2.8	2.9
	1.96	3.02	4.22
	1.94	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	3.86 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
45.2%

Draw
31.2%

Illescas
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illescas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badajoz - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Badajoz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Illescas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Illescas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Badajoz have a series of guest games.

In this match Badajoz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Badajoz - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Adarve - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Llerenense - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Olivenza - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLT
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Illescas - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Llerenense - Illescas	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Illescas - Montijo	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Illescas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.09.23	Illescas - Badajoz	0:0

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