Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Illescas		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.25	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.42	2.91	3.13
	2.43	2.88	3.13
	2.3	2.88	2.9
	2.34	2.95	3.07
	2.27	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.12)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
39.5%

Draw
30.8%

Gimnástica Segoviana
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Illescas - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Illescas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ursaria - Illescas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Llerenense - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	4:1 ✺
26.11.23	Badajoz - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWWW

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