Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Illescas		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.6	6.5
	1.55	3.59	6.72
	1.51	3.73	7.25
	1.35	3.8	8
	1.53	3.52	6.47
	1.55	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	3.58 ↓ (3.9)	6.52 ↓ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
60.4%

Draw
25.5%

Montijo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21.8%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illescas's form might have worsened.

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Illescas - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montijo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Illescas is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Illescas - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ursaria - Illescas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWW
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Atlético Paso - Montijo	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Montijo - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Montijo	4:1 ✺
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.09.23	Montijo - Illescas	0:1

Illescas - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide