Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3
	2.25	2.85	3.1
	2.15	2.9	3.35
	2.09	3.05	3.1
	2.41	2.88	3.4
	2.3	3.02	3.24
	2.28	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
40.5%

Draw
30.9%

Rayo Majadahonda
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badajoz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Pontevedra - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Badajoz - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTWT
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Linense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2
28.05.22	Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2
15.01.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	0:0

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