Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Algeciras		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.9	2.95	3.8
	1.9	3	4
	1.94	3.05	3.75
	2.07	3.09	3.87
	1.98	3.16	3.94
	1.95	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)	3.91 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
46.8%

Draw
29.8%

Badajoz
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

33.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

33.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Algeciras's performance.

Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algeciras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Algeciras - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Badajoz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Algeciras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Algeciras is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	3:3 ✺
08.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Algeciras - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
10.12.22	San Fernando - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLW
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.23	Badajoz - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Pontevedra - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Badajoz - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Mérida AD - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Badajoz - Algeciras	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.20	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:0
15.09.19	Badajoz - Algeciras	2:1

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