Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 36

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Ferrol		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.61	3.3	5.25
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.6	3.6	5.68
	1.6	3.58	5.85
	1.64	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.34)	3.48 ↓ (4.2)	5.51 ↓ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
57.3%

Draw
26.2%

Badajoz
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

21.8%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

20.4%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Ferrol - Badajoz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Badajoz will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Badajoz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferrol is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.05.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Ferrol - Linense	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.05.23	Badajoz - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Linares Deportivo - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Badajoz - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Ceuta - Badajoz	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Badajoz - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.10.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	0:3
06.02.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	1:1
10.10.21	Ferrol - Badajoz	0:1

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