Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Badalona Futur		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.58	3.15	2.69
	2.59	3.09	2.71
	2.54	3.29	2.61
	2.5	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.13)	3.21 ↑ (2.96)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona Futur
36%

Draw
28.6%

Hércules
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.3%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona Futur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badalona Futur's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona Futur than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona Futur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona Futur - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Alvarito ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Fornes G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, Mendes M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Badalona Futur has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hércules in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Badalona Futur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Badalona Futur won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Badalona Futur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona Futur
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.24	CE Europa - Badalona Futur	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Badalona Futur - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Penya Independent - Badalona Futur	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Badalona Futur - Andratx	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Sant Andreu - Badalona Futur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.04.24	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	5:1 ✺
14.04.24	Manresa - Hércules	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alzira - Hércules	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hércules - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Hércules - Badalona Futur	2:2
29.01.23	Badalona Futur - Hércules	0:1
10.09.22	Hércules - Badalona Futur	1:1

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