Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Esp Stadium (Fislisbach)

Referee: Odiet M. (Sui)


	Baden		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.7
	4.5	3.6	1.72
	4.51	3.81	1.78
	4.51	3.81	1.76
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4.25	3.64	1.76	Watch
	3.85	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.63)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
21.6%

Draw
25.4%

Wil 1900
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

24.9%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Baden - Wil 1900 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wil will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spycher T. (G) 22. Romano D. 5. Isufi E. 4. Muff P. (C) 2. Pachonik T. 7. Zumberi L. 10. Laski R. 26. Furrer G. 44. Hanke M. 23. Spielmann M. 27. Giampa D.	25. Laidani A. (G) 23. Martic I. 5. Montolio G. 14. Altmann P. 2. Dantas R. 17. Staubli T. 18. Cueni S. 20. Ndau K. (C) 10. Touati H. 9. Navarro J. 22. Maier N.
Substitutes
6. Cirelli S. 30. D'Ovidio G. (G) 15. Dzonlagic O. 28. Eraslan E. 13. Fontana J. 43. Gloor F. 29. Kujovic A. 3. Weilenmann Y. 11. Wiskemann M.	45. Appiah A. 8. Brahimi M. 1. Chande G. (G) 29. Dickenmann M. 6. Geiger S. 11. Gele J. 7. Haile-Selassie K. 4. Jacovic D. 19. Muci N.
Coaches
Winsauer M.	Iacopetta B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Hanke M. ⚽, Giampa D. (A),
28', Touati H. 🟨,
31', Pachonik T. ↓, Eraslan E. ↑,
36', Spielmann M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Staubli T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Touati H. ↓, Haile-Selassie K. ↑,
54', Navarro J. 🟨,
69', Romano D. ↓, Gloor F. ↑,
69', Spielmann M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
69', Navarro J. ↓, Muci N. ↑,
69', Staubli T. ↓, Gele J. ↑,
79', Zumberi L. ↓, Kujovic A. ↑,
79', Giampa D. ↓, Weilenmann Y. ↑,
79', Maier N. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Kujovic A. ⚽,
88', Ndau K. 🟨,
89', Ndau K. ↓, Jacovic D. ↑,
90+4', Eraslan E. 🟨,

Preview

Baden has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wil is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wil is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Baden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
16.03.24	Aarau - Baden	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Baden - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Thun - Baden	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Baden - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Wil 1900
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Rheindorf Altach - Wil 1900	1:3 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
17.03.24	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Thun - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Wil 1900 - Aarau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
27.10.23	Wil 1900 - Baden	0:1
27.08.23	Baden - Wil 1900	0:5

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