Match Info

Challenge League - Round 31

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8


	Thun		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.6
	1.6	4	4.9
	1.62	4.08	5.17
	1.62	3.96	5.13	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.57	4	5.12	Watch
	1.6	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.93 ↑ (3.91)	4.97 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
57.9%

Draw
23.5%

Wil 1900
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Wil 1900 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Thun - Wil 1900 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 47. Fehr F. 6. Bertone L. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Janjicic V. 7. Castroman M. 11. Stewart L. 74. Rastoder E.	32. Muslija G. (G) 6. Geiger S. 4. Jacovic D. 15. Schmid Y. 3. Guzzo R. 17. Staubli T. 7. Neziri B. 20. Ndau K. (C) 10. Maier N. 24. Borges F. 33. Abazi L.
Substitutes
23. Burki M. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 25. Marcolli L. 77. Meichtry F. 16. Roth J. 46. Sessolo H. 1. Ziswiler N. (G)	12. Akinola A. 8. Brahimi M. 18. Bujard Y. (G) 28. Bytyqi E. 5. Crnovrsanin S. 25. Hajij M. 11. Rapp S. 21. Saho U. 26. Schreiber L.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Hammerli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Montolio G. ⚽, Castroman M. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Castroman M. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
28', Janjicic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Geiger S. ↓, Schreiber L. ↑,
46', Janjicic V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Stewart L. ⚽,
58', Stewart L. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
58', Rastoder E. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
59', Abazi L. ↓, Akinola A. ↑,
59', Staubli T. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
59', Borges F. ↓, Hajij M. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Castroman M. (A),
64', 5 - 0, Guzzo R. (Own goal),
67', Reichmuth N. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
72', Castroman M. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
75', Neziri B. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
85', 6 - 0, Bertone L. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
90+1', 7 - 0, Ibayi C. ⚽, Gutbub M. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 3.

Thun is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wil is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Thun is a favorite.

There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Muscle Injury) Burki M. (Inactive) Frith D. (Yellow Cards) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Wil: De Souza D. (Inactive) Hanke M. (Injury) Laidani A. (Knock) Muci A. (Injury) Parente J. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Thun won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 42:27 (average 2.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
11.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT
- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
13.04.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Wil 1900 - Vaduz	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Wil 1900 - Aarau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
23.02.25	Wil 1900 - Thun	2:3
06.12.24	Thun - Wil 1900	0:2
23.09.24	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:0
20.05.24	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:3
09.03.24	Thun - Wil 1900	2:1
20.10.23	Wil 1900 - Thun	0:3
02.09.23	Thun - Wil 1900	3:1

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