Match Info

FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Education City Stadium (Al Rayyan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Bahrain	Bahrain Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Kuwait	Shasha
Qatar	Shoof
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Bahrain		Sudan

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.68	2.52
	3.09	2.87	2.65
	3.43	2.71	2.48	Watch
	3	2.63	2.5
	3.14	2.83	2.51	Watch
	3	2.75	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.46)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)	2.53 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahrain
29.8%

Draw
33.7%

Sudan
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahrain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahrain's form might have worsened.

Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sudan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahrain than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahrain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudan than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sudan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Bahrain - Sudan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bahrain will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sudan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahrain: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. El Gharably M. (G) Al-Hidd 15. Al Shaikh J. Al Riffa 5. Al Moosawi S. Al Riffa 3. Al Hayam W. Al-Muharraq 23. Al Khalasi A. Al-Muharraq 4. Dhiya S. (C) Al Naser 10. Al Aswad K. Al Khalidiyah 7. Madan A. Al Riffa 8. Marhoon M. Al Kuwait 14. Emmanuel V. Sitra 12. Abduljabbar M. Al Khalidiyah	1. Abooja M. (G) 7. Jobak Y. 3. Ering M. Makadi 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 19. Tabanja A. 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 5. Khidir W. Al-Hilal Omdurman 10. Abdelrahman M. (C) Al-Hilal Omdurman 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi
Substitutes
18. Adel M. Al Khalidiyah 6. Al Eker H. Al Riffa 19. Ali H. Al Khalidiyah 13. Al Romaihi M. Al Khalidiyah 24. Habib Y. (G) Sitra 20. Humaidan M. Al Zawraa 17. Mubarak A. Al Khalidiyah 16. Saber O. Al-Muharraq 1. Salem O. (G) Ali CSC 9. Sayed Hashim Al Riffa	4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 18. Fadl M. 23. Kante M. 17. Manan A. 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 20. Simbo M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 14. Zaid A.
Coaches
Talajic D.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Abduljabbar M. ⚽, Al Khalasi A. (A),
41', Al Shaikh J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟥,
61', Khidir W. ↓, Alhassan S. ↑,
61', Omer A. ↓, Abaker A. ↑,
64', Dhiya S. 🟨,
67', Marhoon M. ↓, Humaidan M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Mozamil Y. ⚽,
74', Al Shaikh J. ↓, Sayed Hashim ↑,
74', Abduljabbar M. ↓, Al Romaihi M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Al Romaihi M. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Mano J. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
86', Mozamil Y. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Humaidan M. ⚽, Madan A. (A),
90+2', Al Khalasi A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahrain
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	Bahrain - Algeria	1:5 ✺
03.12.25	Iraq - Bahrain	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Bahrain - Djibouti	1:0 ✺
Friendly
17.11.25	Bahrain - Somalia	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Morocco - Bahrain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Sudan
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	Sudan - Iraq	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Sudan - Lebanon	2:1 ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Oman - Sudan	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	D.R. Congo - Sudan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWLL

Bahrain - Sudan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide