Match Info

FIFA Arab Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Sudan		Lebanon

	1	X	2
	2.31	2.95	3.34
	2.67	2.76	2.95	Watch
	2.32	2.99	3.24	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	3.18 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudan
39%

Draw
31.9%

Lebanon
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudan's performance.

Lebanon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lebanon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Sudan - Lebanon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sudan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lebanon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sudan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 10. Abdelrahman M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 2. Abuaagla M. Al Ahly Benghazi 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 7. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 12. Khamis B. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 5. Walieldin Khidir Al-Hilal Omdurman	21. Matar M. (G) Safa 6. Al Zein H. Safa 9. Fakhro M. Hallescher 10. Haidar M. (C) Al Ahed 8. Kaddour K. Western United 3. Khamis K. Safa 13. Kheir El Dine A. Al Ansar 20. Merheg S. J. Dep. Pereira 4. Safwan M. Nejmeh SC 19. Sharafeddine H. Safa 16. Shour W. Jwayya SC
Substitutes
17. Abdelsamat O. 1. Abooja M. (G) 16. Al Bagir A. A. (G) 18. Al-Bahli M. 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 23. Musa H. 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 20. Simbo M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 19. Tabanja A. 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 14. Zaid A.	14. Bitar G. York United 11. Chabaan O. 2. El Hayek M. Safa 18. El Zein K. Nejmeh SC 17. Ezzeddine H. Al Ahed 12. Farhat H. Al Ahed 22. Farran Z. Jwayya SC 7. Kassas A. Nejmeh SC 1. Khalil M. (G) Al-Faisaly Amman 5. Nassar N. Al Ansar 23. Sabeh A. (G) Al Ahed 15. Sisi Al Ansar

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Sharafeddine H. ↓, El Zein K. ↑,
15', Abdelrahman M. 🟨,
18', Mano J. 🟨,
18', Khamis K. 🟨,
22', Mano J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Khamis K. ⚽, Safwan M. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Haidar M. (Own goal),
45+8', Fakhro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaddour K. ↓, Ezzeddine H. ↑,
46', Fakhro M. ↓, Kassas A. ↑,
53', Safwan M. 🟨,
59', Haidar M. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Jobak Y. ⚽,
76', Omer A. ↓, Musa H. ↑,
76', Abdelrahman M. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
76', El Zein K. ↓, Chabaan O. ↑,
77', Kheir El Dine A. 🟨,
81', Al Zein H. 🟨,
86', Kante M. ↓, Tabanja A. ↑,
90', Alhassan S. ↓, Zaid A. ↑,
90+3', Elneel M. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Sudan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sudan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudan
Friendly
14.11.25	Oman - Sudan	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	D.R. Congo - Sudan	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Sudan - Mauritania	0:0 ✺
09.09.25	Togo - Sudan	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Senegal - Sudan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Lebanon
Asian Cup
18.11.25	Brunei - Lebanon	0:3 ✺
14.10.25	Bhutan - Lebanon	0:4 ✺
09.10.25	Lebanon - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Friendly
08.09.25	Indonesia - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Kuwait - Lebanon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWT?

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Arab Cup
07.12.21	Lebanon - Sudan	1:0

Sudan - Lebanon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide