Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 10

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bakaridjan		Bougouba

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.45	Watch
	2.93	2.85	2.53	Watch
	2.84	2.84	2.45	Watch
	2.83	2.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)	2.47 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bakaridjan
31.7%

Draw
31.7%

Bougouba
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bakaridjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Bakaridjan - Bougouba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8).

Bakaridjan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bougouba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bougouba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Bakaridjan - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Korofina - Bakaridjan	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bakaridjan - Real Bamako	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLTL
- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mali Coura - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
18.02.25	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	3:1
20.04.24	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	2:0
10.12.23	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	0:0
20.11.21	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	2:2

Bakaridjan - Bougouba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide