Match Info
I Liqa - Round 24Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday
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Baku Sporting |
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Difai Ağsu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.18 |
5.5 |
12 |
Watch |
 |
1.19 |
5.83 |
10.04 |
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1.08 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
Watch |
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1.2 |
5 |
15 |
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1.17 |
5.55 |
14.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.34) |
4.58 ↑
(4.45) |
10.55 ↑
(6.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Baku Sporting
73.3% | Draw
18.6% | Difai Ağsu
8.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baku Sporting's performance.Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (-23.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baku Sporting that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Difai Ağsu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Seyidov R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', 1 - 1, Kamta K. ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Difai has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Baku Sporting | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 12.03.26 | Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting | 1:3 | | 13.09.25 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 2:2 | | 08.05.25 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 1:2 | | 06.03.25 | Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting | 0:1 | | 11.12.24 | Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu | 0:2 |
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