The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baku Sporting 53%
Draw 26.4%
MOIK Baku 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
25.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
28.5%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
MOIK Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Pablo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Pablo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 3 - 0, Allahverdiyev I. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Sporting is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).