Match Info

I Liqa - Round 23

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Shimal		Baku Sporting

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.8	4.95	1.23
	8.7	5.11	1.22
	2.27	3.42	2.78	Watch
	13.2	5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (6.3)	4.62 ↑ (4.05)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimal
12.3%

Draw
22.7%

Baku Sporting
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Shimal - Baku Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Qla A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Shimal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Shimal	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1
10	Baku Sporting	3	0	0	3	0:7	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
16.04.26	Səbail - Shimal	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET ✺
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Shimal - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWTL
- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
16.04.26	Baku Sporting - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Səbail - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Baku Sporting - Mingachevir	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
17.12.25	Shimal - Baku Sporting	0:1
25.09.25	Baku Sporting - Shimal	4:1

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