Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Bala Azul		Cieza

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.1	1.72
	16.64	6.80	1.14	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.73
	5.27	3.43	1.7
	4.75	3.1	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.28 ↑ (5.2)	3.91 ↑ (3.45)	1.61 (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Azul
13.5%

Draw
25.2%

Cieza
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.3%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.7%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Bala Azul - Cieza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Pujante D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Bala Azul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cieza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cieza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cieza is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bala Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Bala Azul	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Muleño - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Olímpico de Totana - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bala Azul - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Bala Azul - Yeclano B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTW
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.12.25	Cieza - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cieza - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Cieza - Levante	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.11.25	Yeclano B - Cieza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.03.25	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:0
10.11.24	Cieza - Bala Azul	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Cieza - Bala Azul	5:1

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