Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Bali United Pusam		Than Quảng Ninh

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.2
	1.62	4	4.1	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.68	4.38	4.21
	1.67	4.2	4.2
	1.66	4.1	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.92)	3.93 ↑ (3.48)	4.37 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bali United Pusam
55.6%

Draw
23.4%

Than Quảng Ninh
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

17.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bali United Pusam's performance.

Than Quảng Ninh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Than Quảng Ninh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bali United Pusam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Than Quảng Ninh than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Than Quảng Ninh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	3.2%	1.1%

Bali United Pusam - Than Quảng Ninh Predictions

Users Predictions: Bali United Pusam will win (89 of 93 users predict this - 95.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.58% – 99.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bali United Pusam FC
AFC Champions League
21.01.20	Melbourne Victory - Bali United Pusam	5:0 ✺
14.01.20	Tampines Rovers - Bali United Pusam	3:5 ET ✺
Indonesian Super League
22.12.19	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	0:2 ✺
16.12.19	Arema - Bali United Pusam	3:2 ✺
12.12.19	Bali United Pusam - Persikabo 1973	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Than Quảng Ninh FC
Club Friendly
16.01.20	Than Quảng Ninh - Nam Định	2:3 ✺
12.01.20	Than Quảng Ninh - Quang Nam	3:3 ✺
27.12.19	Đà Nẵng - Than Quảng Ninh	3:1 ✺
25.12.19	Nam Định - Than Quảng Ninh	1:3 ✺
23.12.19	Than Quảng Ninh - Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWW

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