Match Info

Date: 3 August 2020, Monday


	Balkany Zorya		Obolon

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.87
	3.8	3.1	1.82
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.76	3.15	2
	3.9	3.38	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.38)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balkany Zorya
23.9%

Draw
28.6%

Obolon
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

20.3%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balkany Zorya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balkany Zorya than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Obolon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balkany Zorya - Obolon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balkany Zorya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.07.20	Chornomorets Odesa - Balkany Zorya	2:2 ✺
24.07.20	Balkany Zorya - Mykolaiv	1:3 ✺
19.07.20	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Balkany Zorya	1:2 ✺
15.07.20	Balkany Zorya - Volyn Lutsk	1:4 ✺
10.07.20	Kramatorsk - Balkany Zorya	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TLWLT
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.07.20	Obolon - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
24.07.20	Kremin Kremenchuk - Obolon	1:0 ✺
20.07.20	Obolon - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
15.07.20	Obolon - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
11.07.20	Mykolaiv - Obolon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.10.19	Obolon - Balkany Zorya	3:0
05.05.19	Obolon - Balkany Zorya	1:1
06.10.18	Balkany Zorya - Obolon	1:1
06.05.18	Balkany Zorya - Obolon	0:0
07.10.17	Obolon - Balkany Zorya	0:1

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