Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday


	Dergview		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.66
	4	4	1.72
	3.66	3.72	1.75
	3.66	3.72	1.75
	3.93	3.86	1.72
	3.95	4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.97)	3.87 ↑ (3.68)	1.71 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dergview
23.6%

Draw
23.4%

Ballinamallard United
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

24.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dergview's form might have worsened.

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballinamallard United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dergview, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballinamallard United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Dergview is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dergview won 2.

Dergview is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ballinamallard United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ballinamallard United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ballinamallard United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dergview won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dergview won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
27.02.24	Dergview - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Knockbreda - Dergview	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Dundela - Dergview	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Dergview - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:5 ✺
27.01.24	Dergview - Bangor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
24.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	6:1 ✺
27.01.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0
12.08.23	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	4:2
18.04.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0
26.12.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	2:2
23.08.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	0:0
09.04.22	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:1
26.03.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	1:2

Dergview - Ballinamallard United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide