Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Knockbreda		Newington

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.1	1.72
	3.83	3.92	1.77
	3.45	4.2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (5.17)	4.07 ↓ (5)	1.75 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knockbreda
25.7%

Draw
22.3%

Newington
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

12.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knockbreda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Knockbreda's performance.

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, McCaul B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Murphy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Stuart D. ⚽,
50', 1 - 3, Downey P. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Stuart D. ⚽,
63', 2 - 4, McDermott A. ⚽,
73', 3 - 4, McDermott P. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 0.

Recent matches Knockbreda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Knockbreda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Newington is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Knockbreda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
23.04.24	Knockbreda - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Knockbreda	4:0 ✺
02.04.24	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Portadown - Knockbreda	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Knockbreda - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WLWLW
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
13.04.24	Ards - Newington	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Newington - Dundela	1:3 ✺
19.03.24	Newington - Knockbreda	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Annagh United - Newington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
19.03.24	Newington - Knockbreda	2:2
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3
26.08.23	Newington - Knockbreda	2:0
12.04.23	Newington - Knockbreda	1:1
04.03.23	Knockbreda - Newington	0:3
03.01.23	Newington - Knockbreda	0:2
27.08.22	Knockbreda - Newington	1:0

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