Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Ballyclare Comrades		Bangor

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.5	1.47
	5.5	4.75	1.47
	5.01	4.41	1.47
	5.07	4.59	1.54
	5.15	4.65	1.45
	5.5	4.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (3.8)	4.61 ↑ (4.2)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballyclare Comrades
17.9%

Draw
19.9%

Bangor
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

21.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

21.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballyclare Comrades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballyclare Comrades's form might have worsened.

Bangor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bangor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballyclare Comrades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bangor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ballyclare Comrades - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ferguson M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Roohi D. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Roohi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 2 - 2, Neale R. ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Arthurs B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
20.09.24	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Institute FC - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
21.09.24	Armagh City - Bangor	1:4 ✺
13.09.24	Bangor - Dundela	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Newry City - Bangor	4:5 ✺
31.08.24	Bangor - Limavady United	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Ards - Bangor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
23.02.24	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0
02.12.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Bangor	2:3
05.08.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Bangor	3:2
Club Friendly
17.07.18	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	0:0

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