Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 29

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Armagh City		Bangor

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.6	1.59
	3.49	4.75	1.64
	4.05	4.78	1.64	Watch
	4.41	4.05	1.6
	4.3	3.9	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (6.98)	4.42 ↓ (5.02)	1.62 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
22.8%

Draw
20.7%

Bangor
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

18.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

17.3%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Armagh City's performance.

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bangor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Armagh City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bangor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Armagh City - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Arthurs B. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Arthurs B. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Arthurs B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Bangor is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )

Recent matches Armagh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bangor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bangor is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Armagh won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Armagh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
15.02.25	Newington - Armagh City	2:3 ✺
11.02.25	Armagh City - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Armagh City	0:3 ✺
18.01.25	Ards - Armagh City	4:2 ✺
11.01.25	Armagh City - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLT
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
15.02.25	Bangor - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ards - Bangor	0:0 ✺
04.02.25	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Bangor - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.25	Newry City - Bangor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
30.11.24	Bangor - Armagh City	1:1
21.09.24	Armagh City - Bangor	1:4

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