Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Ballyclare Comrades		Newington

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3
	2.35	3.57	2.5
	2.42	3.71	2.62	Watch
	2.33	3.56	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.96)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)	2.66 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballyclare Comrades
40.3%

Draw
25.4%

Newington
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballyclare Comrades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballyclare Comrades's form might have worsened.

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballyclare Comrades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ballyclare Comrades - Newington Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Newington (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Donnelly P. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Donnelly J. ⚽,
18', 0 - 3, Donnelly J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 0 - 4, Stuart D. ⚽,
61', 1 - 4, ⚽,
69', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballyclare won 2.

Recent matches Ballyclare is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newington is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ballyclare have a series of guest games.

Ballyclare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ballyclare won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ballyclare won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
19.04.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Ballinamallard United	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Institute FC - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	2:2 ✺
01.04.25	Armagh City - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
19.04.25	Newington - Newry City	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Newington - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Armagh City - Newington	3:3 ✺
01.04.25	Institute FC - Newington	3:3 ✺
29.03.25	Dundela - Newington	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
08.03.25	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1
26.12.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Newington	1:1
27.08.24	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0
26.12.23	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2
12.12.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Newington	2:0
07.10.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Newington	3:0
25.03.23	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	2:2

Ballyclare Comrades - Newington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide